Zach Ertz headshot

TE · PHI · #86

Zach Ertz

Height
HT 6'5"
Weight
WT 250 lbs
Birth date
Nov 10, 1990 (age 35.9)
College
Stanford

Through 3 games the rank is TE83, off a TE20 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline; the downside gets steeper at 35.9.

Traded from PHI to ARI (Oct 15, 2021).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

1,511

Range 1,392–1,534

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.

Elite TE production now; the age curve is already in the score.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

3.7 pts

1.2 PPG

3 rec · 22 rec yds

Week 6 projection

4.0 pts

vs CAR · floor–ceiling 1.5–6.8

Dynasty Value Score over time

1,4001,5001,7502,000Preseason 2026: 1,870Preseason 20262026 W1: 1,4592026 W12026 W2: 1,4592026 W22026 W3: 1,4592026 W32026 W4: 1,5342026 W42026 W5: 1,5342026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.98

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Ertz caught 3 passes for 22 yards in 2026, ranking TE83 through 3 games. Through 3 games the rank is TE83, off a TE20 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. At 36, age is the lead risk for a TE. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

3.7

PPG

1.2

Rank so far

TE83

Key stats

  • Rec: 3 (TE65)
  • Rec yds: 22 (TE74)
  • Rec TD: —

2026 week shape

0/3 Boom 0%

3/3 Bust 100%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026TE83so far3.71.2322—————
2025TE20101.47.8505044————
2024TE8144.48.5666547————
2023TE4638.25.5271871————
2022TE1992.19.2474064————
2021TE6143.78.57476354———
2020TE3359.55.4363351————
2019TE5171.611.4889166————
2018TE2222.313.911611638————
2017TE3165.411.8748248————
2016TE6144.610.3788164————
2015TE10132.88.9758532————
2014TE14117.27.3587023————
2013TE2288.95.9364694————

Career arc

01002003002013: 88.9 Half-PPR20132014: 117.2 Half-PPR2015: 132.8 Half-PPR20152016: 144.6 Half-PPR2017: 165.4 Half-PPR20172018: 222.3 Half-PPR2019: 171.6 Half-PPR20192020: 59.5 Half-PPR2021: 143.7 Half-PPR20212022: 92.1 Half-PPR2023: 38.2 Half-PPR20232024: 144.4 Half-PPR2025: 101.4 Half-PPR20252026: 3.7 Half-PPR2026 projection: 99.0 Half-PPR2026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W50.0BustJAX58 plays · 69% pass000
2026 W42.3BustLA54 plays · 50% pass13 · 2 rec00
2026 W31.4BustCHI45 plays · 58% pass9 · 1 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
510152025345Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 5 Engine grade

Projected 5.6 · scored 0.0 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +5.6.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • JAX
    +18% · 277 pass yards
  • LA
    -30% · 165 pass yards
  • CHI
    -2% · 229 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 66.5% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

255075100345Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

81.1%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
9.0
Drop %
6.9%

Durability

  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    13 G
  • 2026
    3 G
  • 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R2 (35 overall) TE · that slot hit at 38.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=26; contributor 53.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.73yd

34th of 35

Cushion
6.03yd

7th of 35

YAC above expected
-0.76yd

33rd of 35

Air yards share
16.6%

5th of 35

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Zach Ertz's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Ertz scores 1,511 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Zach Ertz's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 5.8 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Zach Ertz in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.