Xavier Hutchinson headshot

WR · HOU · #19

Xavier Hutchinson

Height
HT 6'3"
Weight
WT 210 lbs
Birth date
Jun 1, 2000 (age 26.4)
College
Iowa State

The running rank is WR53 through 5 games, from WR63. Don't treat that like a season finish.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

530

Range 475–538

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

31.5 pts

6.3 PPG

16 rec · 231 rec yds

Week 6 projection

5.7 pts

@ JAX · floor–ceiling 2.3–8.7

Dynasty Value Score over time

05001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,500Preseason 2026: 0Preseason 20262026 W1: 5382026 W12026 W2: 5402026 W22026 W3: 5422026 W32026 W4: 4,8842026 W42026 W5: 5332026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Hutchinson caught 16 passes for 231 yards in 2026, ranking WR53 through 5 games. Through 5 games he sits WR53, up from WR63 — a climb, not a final rank. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Xavier Hutchinson.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

31.5

PPG

6.3

Rank so far

WR53

Key stats

  • Rec: 16 (WR44)
  • Rec yds: 231 (WR35)
  • Rec TD: —

2026 week shape

0/5 Boom 0%

1/5 Bust 20%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR53so far31.56.316231—4———
2025WR6380.55.035428322———
2024WR14017.71.312117—————
2023WR15317.91.5890—49———

Career arc

0204060801002023: 17.9 Half-PPR1820232024: 17.7 Half-PPR1820242025: 80.5 Half-PPR8120252026: 31.5 Half-PPR3220262026 projection: 66.9 Half-PPR672026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W58.5TEN61 plays · 56% pass65 · 4 rec00
2026 W46.1DAL50 plays · 62% pass46 · 3 rec00
2026 W37.0IND48 plays · 56% pass51 · 3 rec40
2026 W25.2CIN74 plays · 76% pass37 · 3 rec00
2026 W14.7BustBUF70 plays · 54% pass32 · 3 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
51015202512345Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 5 Engine grade

Projected 4.4 · scored 8.5 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -4.1.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • TEN
    -2% · 229 pass yards
  • DAL
    -1% · 232 pass yards
  • IND
    +14% · 268 pass yards
  • CIN
    +5% · 245 pass yards
  • BUF
    +26% · 296 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 57.5% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510012345Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

65.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
3
Avg depth of target
10.2
Drop %
3.5%

Durability

  • 2024
    14 G
  • 2025
    16 G
  • 2026
    5 G
  • 16.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R6 (205 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.40yd

60th of 81

Cushion
5.21yd

71st of 81

YAC above expected
0.15yd

44th of 81

Air yards share
25.2%

41st of 81

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Xavier Hutchinson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Hutchinson scores 530 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Xavier Hutchinson's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 3.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Xavier Hutchinson in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.