QB · NO · #6
Played a short 2025 (11 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,606
Range 5,478–7,656
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Young QB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
85.2 pts
17.0 PPG
1299 pass yds · 9 pass TD · 72 rush yds
Week 6 projection
17.0 pts
@ NYG · floor–ceiling 13.0–47.4
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.01
Athletic composite 6.3/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Shough threw for 1,299 yards and 9 TDs in 2026, ranking QB13 through 5 games. He ranks QB13 through 5 games, up from QB26. That's pace, not a finished season. Only 11 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Tyler Shough.
Half-PPR points
85.2
PPG
17.0
Rank so far
QB13
Key stats
2026 week shape
3/4 Boom 75%
0/4 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB13so far | 85.2 | 17.0 | 1299 | 9 | 72 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB26 | 158.0 | 14.4 | 2384 | 10 | 186 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | -0.2Bust | MIN | 42 plays · 60% pass | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 15.9 | ATL | 67 plays · 72% pass | 286 / 1 TD | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 23.8Boom | LV | 70 plays · 60% pass | 255 / 4 TD | 36 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 22.4Boom | BAL | 61 plays · 56% pass | 252 / 1 TD | 23 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 23.2Boom | DET | 81 plays · 69% pass | 410 / 3 TD | 8 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 19.5 · scored -0.2 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +19.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 83.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
83.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (40 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
10th of 38
12th of 38
14th of 38
21st of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.