WR · HOU · #12
He ranks WR21 through 3 games, down from WR9. Early, not a finished step down.
Picked by the Texans in 2021 via a trade with the Panthers.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,258
Range 6,529–7,840
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
53.1 pts
17.7 PPG
19 rec · 249 rec yds · 3 rec TD
Week 6 projection
18.1 pts
@ JAX · floor–ceiling 12.0–25.1
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Collins caught 19 passes for 249 yards in 2026, ranking WR21 through 3 games. Through 3 games the rank is WR21, off a WR9 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Nico Collins.
Marvin Harrison Jr. After the Trade to Houston
Marvin Harrison Jr. has five catches in four games and was traded to Houston. Here is what his dynasty value looks like now, and why I'd hold and not pay full price.
Week 6 Matchups: Who's Set Up to Win
Las Vegas has allowed 27, 30 and 45 points in its last three games and Dallas has allowed 34, 30 and 24. Week 6 matchups to act on, with four teams on bye.
Buy-Low, Sell-High: After Week 5
MarShawn Lloyd scored two touchdowns on 31 rushing yards, and Nico Collins and Jonathan Taylor had quiet Sundays at the top of the Week 6 board. Who to sell and who to buy.
Redzone & Stalled: Week 5
Jaylen Warren scored 33.8 on a 12.4 projection, Tyler Shough scored negative points, and Parker Washington took 27.4 from Brian Thomas Jr.'s zero. Week 5's biggest beats and misses.
Redzone & Stalled: Week 4
Touchdowns powered Week 4's biggest beats, and a few offenses threw too little for their stars to hit. The largest gaps between projection and score.
Week 4 Dynasty Winners & Losers
Injuries rewrote at least four depth charts this week. Ollie Gordon, Emanuel Wilson and Romeo Doubs inherited jobs, and seven players sat out and lost 300 to 500 points.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 4
A running back whose score jumped nearly 9,000 points, a 38-point receiver and a quarterback who finally woke up. Which Week 4 reactions to fade.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 3
Four Week 3 takes the box score doesn't back, plus the one matchup call from our preview that actually held up.
Week 3 Dynasty Winners & Losers: A New WR1 in Jacksonville
Jacksonville gets a new WR1, Brock Bowers returns with 13 targets, and New England's backfield stays split. The real Week 3 dynasty moves.
Is C.J. Stroud a Dynasty Buy-Low in 2026?
C.J. Stroud's dynasty value fell for two straight years after a historic rookie season. Houston just spent the offseason fixing the actual problem.
Jayden Higgins Tears ACL, Out for the Full 2026 Season
Texans WR Jayden Higgins tore his ACL in joint practice with the Raiders and will miss the entire 2026 season. Dynasty value and depth chart impact.
Half-PPR points
53.1
PPG
17.7
Rank so far
WR21
Key stats
2026 week shape
1/3 Boom 33%
0/3 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR21so far | 53.1 | 17.7 | 19 | 249 | 3 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR9 | 190.7 | 12.7 | 71 | 1117 | 6 | 15 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | WR22 | 176.6 | 14.7 | 68 | 1006 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR9 | 220.4 | 14.7 | 80 | 1297 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR78 | 78.6 | 7.9 | 37 | 481 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR87 | 67.1 | 4.8 | 33 | 446 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 8.1 | TEN | 61 plays · 56% pass | 56 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 27.3Boom | DAL | 50 plays · 62% pass | 118 / 2 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 17.7 | BUF | 70 plays · 54% pass | 75 / 1 TD · 7 rec | 7 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 18.1 · scored 8.1 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +10.0.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 77.2% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
83.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (89 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
78th of 81
74th of 81
48th of 81
66th of 81
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.