QB · MIN · #11
Played a short 2025 (5 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from IND to WAS (Mar 9, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — QB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
25.5 pts
12.8 PPG
276 pass yds · 3 pass TD · 5 rush yds
Week 6 projection
Bye
No game this week
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Wentz threw for 276 yards and 3 TDs in 2026, ranking QB37 through 2 games. Current rank is QB37 through 2 games — QB39 was the last finished season. 2025 stopped at 5 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Carson Wentz.
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Is Kyler Murray Still Startable After His Concussion?
Kyler Murray's Vikings debut lasted 18 pass yards before a concussion ended his day. He missed Week 2, started Week 3, and the dynasty case still sits on health.
Half-PPR points
25.5
PPG
12.8
Rank so far
QB37
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/2 Boom 0%
0/2 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB37so far | 25.5 | 12.8 | 276 | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB39 | 70.3 | 14.1 | 1216 | 6 | 57 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB65 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB51 | 26.1 | 26.1 | 163 | 2 | 56 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB31 | 112.8 | 14.1 | 1755 | 11 | 86 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB13 | 258.0 | 15.2 | 3563 | 27 | 215 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB22 | 198.4 | 16.5 | 2620 | 16 | 276 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB10 | 275.9 | 17.2 | 4039 | 27 | 243 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB23 | 193.2 | 17.6 | 3074 | 21 | 93 | — | 1 | 4 | — |
| 2017 | QB5 | 281.7 | 21.7 | 3296 | 33 | 299 | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB24 | 213.5 | 13.3 | 3782 | 16 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 7 | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W2 | 6.3 | CHI | 48 plays · 42% pass | 143 | 6 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 19.2 | GB | 58 plays · 41% pass | 133 / 3 TD | -1 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 2 Engine grade
Projected 8.1 · scored 6.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +1.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 93.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
95.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
6th of 38
25th of 38
37th of 38
10th of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.