WR · JAX · #7
Brian Thomas Jr.
- Height
- HT 6'2"
- Weight
- WT 209 lbs
- Birth date
- Oct 8, 2002 (age 24)
- College
- LSU
Through 5 games the rank is WR85, off a WR43 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,555
Range 4,140–4,907
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Young WR with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
21.0 pts
4.2 PPG
9 rec · 105 rec yds · 1 rec TD
Week 6 projection
8.9 pts
vs HOU · floor–ceiling 5.9–19.5
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.00
Athletic composite 6.0/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Quick answer
WatchThomas caught 9 passes for 105 yards in 2026, ranking WR85 through 5 games. Through 5 games the rank is WR85, off a WR43 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Brian Thomas Jr..
- NewsNextDyne
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 5
Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota are on bye in Week 6. Four adds with usage behind them, including a tight end who saw 13 targets and a Steelers receiver stepping into two absences.
- RankingsNextDyne
Redzone & Stalled: Week 5
Jaylen Warren scored 33.8 on a 12.4 projection, Tyler Shough scored negative points, and Parker Washington took 27.4 from Brian Thomas Jr.'s zero. Week 5's biggest beats and misses.
- RankingsNextDyne
Week 3 Dynasty Winners & Losers: A New WR1 in Jacksonville
Jacksonville gets a new WR1, Brock Bowers returns with 13 targets, and New England's backfield stays split. The real Week 3 dynasty moves.
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5 Breakout Dynasty TEs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty TE sleepers whose roles or prices have not caught up: a Seahawks TE1 still 19th, a Jaguars 12-game spike, and a Chargers pass-catcher our board currently scores at zero.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Malik Nabers a Top-5 Dynasty WR Regardless of QB Play?
Malik Nabers tore his ACL in Week 4 and needed a second cleanup surgery in May. Here's an honest look at his recovery timeline and dynasty value heading into 2026.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is JSN's Breakout Year Real or a Product of Volume?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards, won a Super Bowl, and just signed a $168.6 million extension. Here's why his dynasty value isn't a volume mirage.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Amon-Ra St. Brown the Safest WR1 in Dynasty?
Amon-Ra St. Brown has finished WR3 in half-PPR in each of the last three seasons. Here's why he might be dynasty's safest asset at the position.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
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Is Brian Thomas Jr. a Buy-Low After His Sophomore Slump?
BTJ went from a Pro Bowl rookie to one of 2025's biggest fantasy busts. Here's why the injuries, not the talent, explain the collapse.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
21.0
PPG
4.2
Rank so far
WR85
Key stats
- Rec: 9 (WR74)
- Rec yds: 105 (WR89)
- Rec TD: 1 (WR34)
2026 week shape
0/5 Boom 0%
2/5 Bust 40%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR85so far | 21.0 | 4.2 | 9 | 105 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR43 | 114.8 | 8.2 | 48 | 707 | 2 | 21 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | WR4 | 240.5 | 14.1 | 87 | 1282 | 10 | 48 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 0.0Bust | PHI | 66 plays · 59% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 8.7 | CIN | 50 plays · 46% pass | 17 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 1.3Bust | NE | 59 plays · 49% pass | 8 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 5.5 | DEN | 53 plays · 55% pass | 40 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 5.5 | CLE | 55 plays · 42% pass | 40 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 9.9 · scored 0.0 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +9.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- PHI+6% · 248 pass yards
- CIN+5% · 245 pass yards
- NE-5% · 223 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 220 pass yards
- CLE+2% · 240 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 77.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
85.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 2
- Avg depth of target
- 14.5
- Drop %
- 11.0%
Durability
- 202417 G
- 202514 G · 2 Out
- 20265 G
- 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Separation
- 2.96yd
- Cushion
- 6.72yd
- YAC above expected
- -0.94yd
- Air yards share
- 22.1%
28th of 81
30th of 81
77th of 81
51st of 81
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Thomas scores 4,555 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 11.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Brian Thomas Jr. in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.