Tyler Lockett headshot

WR · FA · #17

Tyler Lockett

Height
HT 5'10"
Weight
WT 182 lbs
Birth date
Sep 28, 1992 (age 34.1)
College
Kansas State

Production trend is soft: WR68 → WR94 over the last two seasons; the downside gets steeper at 34.1.

Picked by the Seahawks in 2015 via a trade with the Commanders.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

284

Range 172–300

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2025 total FP

53.1 pts

3.1 PPG

32 rec · 291 rec yds · 1 rec TD

Week 6 projection

5.7 pts

floor–ceiling 2.3–8.8

Dynasty Value Score over time

50100200300350Preseason 2026: 79Preseason 20262026 W1: 2952026 W12026 W2: 2952026 W22026 W3: 2962026 W32026 W4: 2842026 W42026 W5: 2842026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Lockett caught 32 passes for 291 yards in 2025, finishing WR94. He scored about 14% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from WR68 to WR94 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. He's 34 now, old enough that decline risk is real. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

53.1

PPG

3.1

Positional finish

WR94

Key stats

  • Rec: 32 (WR76)
  • Rec yds: 291 (WR96)
  • Rec TD: 1 (WR95)

2025 week shape

0/10 Boom 0%

6/10 Bust 60%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

2025: 3.1 PPG actual vs 3.6 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 14%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR9453.13.1322911————
2024WR6896.55.7496002————
2023WR33162.99.6798945————
2022WR13195.312.28410339————
2021WR13204.912.873117589———
2020WR9215.413.5100105410————
2019WR14194.212.18210578-5———
2018WR15193.912.1579651069———
2017WR5895.86.045555258———
2016WR61103.66.94159711141——
2015WR44127.98.051664620———

Career arc

01002003002015: 127.9 Half-PPR20152016: 103.6 Half-PPR20162017: 95.8 Half-PPR20172018: 193.9 Half-PPR20182019: 194.2 Half-PPR20192020: 215.4 Half-PPR20202021: 204.9 Half-PPR20212022: 195.3 Half-PPR20222023: 162.9 Half-PPR20232024: 96.5 Half-PPR20242025: 53.1 Half-PPR20252026 projection: 51.4 Half-PPR2026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W181.0BustKC58 plays · 45% pass5 · 1 rec00
2025 W177.9NYG50 plays · 60% pass9 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W161.1BustHOU50 plays · 46% pass6 · 1 rec00
2025 W152.0BustPHI38 plays · 66% pass10 · 2 rec00
2025 W145.6DEN44 plays · 73% pass41 · 3 rec00
2025 W131.6BustLAC41 plays · 56% pass11 · 1 rec00
2025 W128.2CLE65 plays · 68% pass62 · 4 rec00
2025 W114.8BustDAL54 plays · 78% pass33 · 3 rec00
2025 W106.9DEN52 plays · 52% pass44 · 5 rec00
2025 W90.0BustJAX58 plays · 67% pass000

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpectedBoom 20+Bust under 5
5101520259101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 50.0% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751009101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

57.1%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
7.8
Drop %
5.9%

Durability

  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    17 G
  • 2026
    —
  • 15.7 projected games — recent completed seasons at a full slate.

R3 (69 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.78yd

42nd of 85

Cushion
6.28yd

40th of 85

YAC above expected
-1.04yd

85th of 85

Air yards share
10.7%

70th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Tyler Lockett's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Lockett scores 284 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Tyler Lockett's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 3.0 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Tyler Lockett in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.